Personal Interest

Something To Think About

by Geof Lambert
Wednesday, March 30, 2005. 09:43AM
386 Views 5 Comments

In year 1000 B.C. Alexandria arguably was the center of the "civilized world".

Of course the definition of what is the center of civilized world is open to interpretation, but for the sake of discussion let’s define it as the economic, educational, technological, cultural and political center of the world. In light of that definition it is safe to say that Alexandria was certainly quite possibly the center of the civilized world in year 0.

And, in year of Birth of Christ 0 A.D. it was arguably Rome.

In 1000 A.D. it would be London, era of the British Empire.

In year 2000 would there be much argument that New York held that distinction?

Now the fun part. What will it be in year 3000? Is it very likely that the same city will hold the same position two times in a row? Based on the past, that doesn’t appear very likely. And, if it won’t be New York in 3000 you have to wonder at what point in time does New York begin its descent into being “just another city”? Has it already started to occur? A visitor to present day Alexandria and Rome certainly will be able to take in many architectural, cultural and historical sites, but certainly won’t feel that they are in the presence of the epicenter of the civilized world. How will a visitor to New York feel in year 3000?

So, if not NY, where will it be? Is it possible it could be a United States city? Los Angeles? San Francisco certainly was certainly heading that direction before the burst of the infamous bubble. Will it regain that status with some form of a new technology we aren’t aware of yet? Or perhaps it will be in another country. Could it be Shanghai? Dubai? Seoul? Bangalore?

What do you think?

(login to vote or comment.)
Wednesday, April 20, 2005. 12:44AM by Simone Collins
Given the trend so far, I doubt the next "power center" will be in the USA. In this early part of the century, I think it is impossible to predict where the balance of power will be in 1000 years time. One would hope that a true "United Nations", not in its current form but more like the European Union, will see not one particular "Empire" in a dominant position but a truly equal, global approach to sharing everything.
Monday, April 18, 2005. 07:34AM by Marcos Carot
Every "empire" has risen and then felt. Countries, Reigns, Empires, all of them have a limited time, a chapter in the global history. I doubt any of us could recognize a political map from year 3000... much less the city that can be called the center of the world. But don´t stop dreaming of a good future, no matter the national borders, we have to think of humankind as a hole.
Saturday, April 16, 2005. 04:17PM by Mario Guido Mancosu
mmmhh...i bet that the whole planet will be that centre. I think that all the human kind will be in some other planets of our star system, and earth will remain our centre ad a deposit of all our history and culture. Prepare the next generations for the big jump...
Friday, April 1, 2005. 08:01PM by Caroline Pomietlarz
I think that the likelihood of having New York reign as the nexus as the universe (as I call it, but I'm biased...) would be beyond slim to none. One needs to examine so many different things to even come to a vague conclusion. By looking at the ebb and flow of political power in history, it can be betted on that some new regime will arise that can top the beaurocratic/democratic principles we live by now, that a world power will arise--perhaps in SE Asia, maybe So. America(who knows?), that will rival us. There is always room for improvement in political integrity, efficiency, etc. And as globalization continues there's a pretty good shot that the US will take the role of the proverbial sensei, being superceded in skill by its student. And there's always the question of global warming--we've all probably heard that the world's temperature is growing, that the ice caps are beginning to melt...who knows if there will even be a NYC proper? And besides, New York's claim to fame, its rise in culture and population really only came because it was the hub of the mass immigration during the last 2+ centuries. With the paranoia after 9/11 and terrorist threats, it is becoming exceedingly difficult for immigrants to be granted citizenship or even a visa, and the worldly culture of knowledge, culture, art, and finance will see its day, just as Rome did. As sad as it is, it doesn't look likely to see NY got at it for a whole millenium...but it's a got a sure shot to last for a while longer.
Friday, April 1, 2005. 01:40PM by Seth Hays
I vote Sacramento...